Many of us are afraid to fly, citing the insecurity of flights. In this regard, it seems to me important to conduct a comparative analysis of the dangers of travel by different modes of transport in order to make the final verdict on air travel: are they really so dangerous compared to other modes of transport, or all these rumors have no real basis.
Instructions
Step 1
To begin with, it must be said that every day in the world there are between 50,000 and 80,000 flights, which gives an enormous figure of 30 million flights a year. Thus, the total number of transported passengers reaches hundreds of millions. The passenger turnover, as you can see yourself, is so enormous that even if only 1 percent of all departures ended in an accident, their number would reach about 300 thousand in a year!
Step 2
How many catastrophes are committed in the world per year? The 2016 summary lists 10 disasters in a year. To understand how small the probability of getting into a plane crash in 2016, I will write it down as a percentage. This will be approximately 0.003% of the total number of flights. With about the same probability, you can beat Wladimir Klitschko. Thus, we come to the conclusion that the fears of flights are unfounded.
Step 3
For clarity, let's compare the probability of a plane crash with the probability of a car accident. Only on Russian roads in the same 2016, 20,000 people died, which is almost 100 times more than the death toll from air travel. If you go through the types of aircraft that crashed, you will find that most of them are old, such as the Russian Tu-154 that crashed near Sochi. This fact also raises concerns of passengers flying with Russian airlines. I think they need to be reassured too. The flagships of Russian civil aviation, such as the budget Pobeda and S7, as well as Aeroflot, have almost completely renewed their aircraft fleet with factory Superjet100, Boing 737 and 747.
